#Ontario, #Covid19Surge, #OntarioNewModelingProjections
Ontario/Canadian-Media: Ontario reported another single-day highest record of 1,855 new cases of COVID-19 Nov 27 despite Ontario being locked down since the beginning of this week, media reports said.
This has pushed the seven-day average of daily cases to 1,489, the highest since the first confirmed infection was reported in Ontario in late January.
The alarming surge seen Nov 27 is despite more than 58,000 tests processed by the labs, another single-day highest record with a high margin as against 47,576 specimens processed in 24 hours
The new cases on Nov 27 include 517 in Peel Region, 494 in Toronto, 189 in York Region, and 130 in Halton Region.
According to the worst-case scenario revealed in the updated new modeling projections, released by Ontario government during a news conference on Nov 26, Ontario could see more than 9,000 new cases of COVID-19 per day by the end of the year.
Most of the new cases of COVID-19 reported on Nov 27 are seen in people under the age of 80. 686 Covid 19 cases were seen in people between the ages of 20 and 39, at least 564 in people between the ages of 40 and 59, and 249 in people between the ages of 60 and 79. There were 278 cases in people under the age of 19.
#Alberta; Covid19CasesSurge; #TestingKits
Alberta/Canadian-Media: With active cases of COVID-19 in Alberta topping 14,000 on Nov 26, setting another new record, with 10 more deaths, Alberta Health Services (AHS) plans to roll out more than 100,000 rapid COVID-19 testing kits for the targeted sites.
Effectiveness of the Abbott IDNow and PanBio COVID-19 testing kits which have been evaluated by AHS over the last two months, the province said in a news release, will be rolled out in clinical pilot projects at an assessment centre in Calgary and one in Edmonton, at assessment centres in Slave Lake and St. Paul, and at the hospital lab in Bonnyville.
"Rapid tests are only valid for symptomatic folks who have shown symptoms in the last seven days," Health Minister Tyler Shandro said Thursday at a news conference. "So these tests are not for close contacts, nor are they for those who may have been exposed but are asymptomatic...allow us to quickly identify and notify positive cases within hours, reducing the need for patient samples to be transported to centralized public laboratories for processing."
At that same news conference, Dr. Deena Hinshaw, the province's chief medical officer of health, updated on the pandemic and commended the nearly 1.3 million Albertans who have now gotten their immunization for influenza this year and added the province has not seen a single lab-confirmed case of seasonal influenza.
"Unfortunately, COVID-19 is more contagious than influenza and for some people far more deadly," said Dr. Hinshaw.
#Canada; #PHAC; #ProjectedModelOfPHAC' #Covid19Pandemic
Ottawa, Nov 20 (Canadian-Media): According to the Public Health Agency of Canada(PHAC), COVID-19 new infections in Canada could reach upto 60,000 a day by the end of December with possible explosion in the casehold if Canadians do not reduce their contacts, PHAC said.
Justin Trudeau. Image credit: Facebook page
Speaking to journalists outside his residence at Rideau Cottage, Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau asked Canadians to restrict their interactions to essential activities while maintaining physical distancing and adhering to other public health guidelines, and said the prospect of a normal holiday season this year is "right out of the question."
"We are facing [a] winter that's going to drive people inside more and more, and we're really at risk of seeing caseloads go up, and hospitals get overwhelmed, and more loved ones dying," he said.
"So we need to do everything we can right now to slow the spread of COVID-19, to stop the spike in its tracks."
"We need to hang in there. We need to know that the end is in sight, but we're not there yet," he said and pleaded to protect the the front line workers now risking their lives, and the lives of their family members, to keep Canadians safe and for the long-term health of the national economy.
"They have been heroes. They have been going above and beyond anything they might have thought they were signing up for," he said.
"We need to help them. We need to give them a break. We need to stop this spike in cases. We need to think about them as we think about our loved ones who need medical help, who are vulnerable to COVID-19."
During a news conference this morning, Chief Public Health Officer Dr. Theresa Tam also discussed the latest modelling with detailed projections on new infections
"We are not on a good trajectory," Tam said Friday. "I think across the board, across Canada, we have to say the time is now, with urgency, that we limit contacts. However that is being done at the local level, that is the underlying principle. Keep those contacts down by restrictions and, of course, each individual doing their work."
"This won't be forever. Recently, there has been some really good news about vaccine development. Keep this beacon of hope in mind as we all come together, apart, to do what is needed," she said. "Right now, every effort you make as an individual matters,"Canada's Health Minister Patty Hajdu also urged vigilance.
#Ontario; #Covid19; #3rdStraightDayOfDecrease
Toronto, Nov 19 (Canadian-Media): Another 1,210 cases of COVID-19 were reported in Ontario Nov 19, a third straight day of decreases, and down from 1,575 last Thursday, dropping the seven-day average to 1,369, the lowest since Nov. 13, media reports said.
COVID19. Image credit: Twitter handle
The new cases include 361 in Peel Region, 346 in Toronto, and 143 in York Region.
Speaking on Nov 18, Ontario Premier Doug Ford called the numbers in Toronto, Peel, and York regions "extremely, extremely concerning" and said all three are "staring down the barrel of another lockdown."
There are currently 12,628 confirmed, active infections of the novel coronavirus provincewide, 194 fewer than yesterday, with the province reporting a test positivity rate of 4.1 percent.
Although the number of people in Ontario hospitals with confirmed cases of COVID-19 fell nine down to 526, admissions to intensive care jumped up to 146, an increase of 19.
#Toronto; #Ontario; #Covid-19RedZone, #NewOneDayHigh
Toronto, Nov 17 (IBNS): Ontario's newly confirmed cases of COVID-19 on Nov 17 drove the seven-day average down to about 1,423, from 1,443 on Nov 16, media reports said.
For the second time in four days the seven-day average, which helps measure to provide a clearer picture of longer-term trends, has gone down following two straight weeks of the steep surge.
Toronto's new 569 more cases, more than double the 256 recorded in Peel Region, and York Region registered another 94 cases.
However, under 26,500 test samples for the novel coronavirus have been processed by Ontario, far below the current capacity of about 50,000.
While the Peel region was already in the COVID-19 ‘red’ zone, Doug Ford, Ontario's Premiere, on the recommendations of health experts moved effectively Nov 16 Toronto, Hamilton, Halton, and York regions also to COVID-19 ‘red’ zones which contains more severe restrictions.
Image: Covid19 Red zone. Image credit: Pixaby
#ModernaVaccine; #CoronavirusVaccine; #Canada; #US
Toronto, Nov 16 (Canadian-Media): American company Moderna said Nov 16 that the vaccines shots which Canada has preordered for its population provide strong protection with 95 percent effectiveness, according to the preliminary data from the company's still-ongoing study and much hope against the surge of coronavirus around the world, media reports said.
Welcoming the really important milestone, Dr. Stephen Hoge, Moderna's president said having similar results from two different companies gives more reassurance and added,
"That should give us all hope that actually a vaccine is going to be able to stop this pandemic and hopefully get us back to our lives," Hoge told The Associated Press.
"It won't be Moderna alone that solves this problem. It's going to require many vaccines" to meet the global demand, he said.
Created with the National Institutes of Health, Moderna's vaccine is being studied in 30,000 volunteers who received either the real vaccination or a dummy shot followed by the second dose weeks after and discovered all but five illnesses occurred in participants who got the placebo.
Moderna announced Monday that once thawed, its doses can last longer in a refrigerator than initially thought, up to 30 days.
#Ontario; #Covid19RecordHighNewCases; #COVID19ModellingCollaboration
Toronto, Nov 12 (Canadian-Media): Ontario sees a renewed surge in infections by reaching Nov 12 a record high of 1,575 Covid-19 cases as against 1,426 new cases, breaking its previous single day record, media reports said.
Covid 19 Pandemic. Image credit: Internet wallpaper
According to recent projections by the COVID-19 Modelling Collaborative group, which includes scientists and physicians from the University of Toronto, University Health Network and Sunnybrook Hospital Ontario is on track for 2,000 cases a day around Dec. 1.
"We'd have to start seeing a huge change in terms of the restrictions that we have in place to not hit 2,000," said said Ashleigh Tuite, an infectious diseases epidemiologist at the University of Toronto's Dalla Lana School of Public Health, who is not part of the Modelling Collaborative team, in an interview with CBC News, "We're on this trajectory and we're not doing enough at this point to change that trajectory."
Only two of Ontario's 34 public health units have been placed in "red zone" alert level by the provincial government, including Toronto (starting this weekend) and Peel Region. The medical officers of health in both areas have decided the red zone restrictions imposed by the province are insufficient and have announced additional measures to slow the spread of the virus.