#Ontario; #ModellingProjections; #COVID19; #3000-15,000Deaths;#PhysicalDistancing
Toronto, Apr 3 (Canadian-Media): As part of modelling projections the province released Friday about the spread of COVID-19 in Ontario, Provincial health experts expect 3,000 to 15,000 death in the province due to COVID-19 over the course of the pandemic, effect of which could last up to two years, media reports said.
Coronavirus. Image credit: Twitter handle
The detailed explanations of the model projected was done during a news conference told today by Dr. Peter Donnelly, who heads Public Health Ontario, Matthew Anderson, the head of Ontario Health, and Adalsteinn Brown, dean of the University of Toronto's public health department.
Donnelly said Ontario could have faced 100,000 deaths if it had failed to take preventive measures such as physical distancing and added these figures may seem scary, intimidating and unlikely to many.
But taking into consideration the mortality of this disease, Donnelly continued, which is up to ten times higher than normal, seasonal flu which costs about 1,350 t0 1,500 deaths every year, and the fact that Ontario did not have any vaccine, or any specific treatment, the figure of 15,000 becomes entirely logical and comprehensible.
The time frame of 18 months to two years accounts for the possibility of secondary or tertiary outbreaks.
He did not suggest for how long the physical distancing measures will be in place.